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About The Author:
John Schroder of Ascot Advisory Services writes articles for a number of publications and e-zines regarding topics and issues of interest or concern to clients.  As an expatriate himself, John has lived abroad for many years, and assists clients with services related to the topics on this web site.
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Our December 15, 2006 Newsletter Edition
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IN THE NEWS:
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EXEC SAYS HMOs ARE DRIVING HOSPITALS INTO BANKRUPTCY
Friday - December 1, 2006
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NEW YORK (AP)  -- Anyone who's had a medical claim rejected by their health insurance company will be interested in the testimony of a hospital president today before a state assembly health committee.  David Rosen says Health Maintenance Organizations are the key reason why health care in New York is declining, saying HMOs are raking up billion dollar profits by collecting premiums, while hospitals who provide care lost two billion dollars in the last eight years.  Rosen - who is president of the Medi-Sys Health Network and a three hospital-group in Queens - says the money is in the health care pipeline. It's been paid by people to insurance companies. However when people make a claim, the insurance companies respond with the plan pays zero on claims they are supposed to pay.
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http://1010wins.com/
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MARCAL FILES FOR CHAPTER 11 PROTECTION
By Greg Saitz - December 1, 2006 - Star-Ledger Staff
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Nearly 75 years after his grandfather founded Marcal Paper Mills, Nicholas Marcalus took a step yesterday that could lead to the end of the family business.  Faced with a cash crisis spurred by rising energy costs, the country's eighth-largest tissue manufacturer filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in Newark.  The company, which makes toilet paper, napkins, paper towels and tissues, ran into problems several weeks ago, when it defaulted on two secured loans totaling $117.7 million, according to court papers.
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http://www.nj.com/business/ledger/
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PUERTO RICO WIRELESS PROVIDER FILES FOR BANKRUPTCY WITH PLANS TO SELL ASSETS - By Dawn McCarthy - Saturday, December 2, 2006
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WILMINGTON, USA (Bloomberg): NewComm Wireless Services Inc., a closely held provider of cellular-phone services in Puerto Rico, has filed for bankruptcy protection with a plan to sell its assets to PRWireless Inc. for about $103.2 million.  NewComm said in court documents that it lost subscribers because it couldn't finance network upgrades. The company, a joint venture of ClearComm LP and Telefonica Larga Distancia de Puerto Rico Inc., plans to try to make the improvements early next year if the sale isn't completed.
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http://www.caribbeannetnews.com/
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LEVEE BOARD ASKS TO FILE BANKRUPTCY
By Jan Moller - Friday, December 01, 2006
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BATON ROUGE -- With an estimated $23 million legal judgment to pay and its official demise pending, the Orleans Levee Board on Thursday asked the State Bond Commission for permission to declare bankruptcy.  An attorney for the Levee Board said Chapter 9 bankruptcy might be the best way to protect the board's assets from possible seizure in the wake of an October ruling from a federal judge in favor of corporations and families that own land inside the Bohemia Spillway in Plaquemines Parish.  It's the only viable alternative we know of to deal with the fact that the assets of the Levee Board can be seized any day, Jarrell Godfrey told the Bond Commission. 
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http://www.nola.com/news/
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LOCAL BANKRUPTCY FILINGS SURPASS YEAR AGO FIGURES
December 2, 2006
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For the first time this year, northwest Ohio bankruptcy filings surpassed in a month the number filed at the same time last year.  There were 352 petitions, mostly from individuals and couples, last month, up from 45 a year ago for the 21 counties covered by the U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Toledo. Through November, there were 3,498 filings for the year, down from 16,801 a year ago.
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http://toledoblade.com/
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KING OF BANKRUPTCY PREDICTS RISE IN DEFAULTS
By Elena Moya - Nov. 29, 2006
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LONDON, Nov 29 (Reuters) - Billionaire turnaround specialist Wilbur L. Ross predicted that bankruptcies in Europe and the United States would increase sharply next year because of soaring corporate debt levels.  Ross, dubbed the King of Bankruptcy by Fortune magazine in 1998, said at a conference in London on Wednesday that defaults would rise to about 7 percent of all companies by the end of next year -- one of the most bearish predictions in the industry -- from about 1 percent now.  The number of defaults will rise even in the absence of an economic downturn or interest rate increases, said the chairman of WL Ross & Co. LLC in a videoconference from his office in New York.  There will be some tragedies.
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http://today.reuters.com/news/
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EDITORS NOTES: The common denominator here is the term bankruptcy.  Aside from what is going on in the consumer and private industry sector, we gave you some news stories recently in other newsletters regarding local state and municipal governments that are in effect bankrupt as well.  For example, we highlighted the city of San Diego, which is having trouble paying pensions to its retired civil service workers, such as policemen.  I do not wish to paint a gloom and doom scenario, but the truth is that all these trends and statistics should be looked at very, very seriously.  In addition, one has to ask how these events and trends will affect the value of your investments, interest rates, taxes and an entire list of other issues that can affect your own bottom line going forward.  I will say one thing.  If there ever was a recession proof business, I think a company making toilet paper fits that mold.  When a toilet paper company goes bankrupt, that is saying something about the true health (or lack thereof) of the economy.  Marcal is (was) not the largest consumer paper products company in the US, but it is no small fry either (the 8th largest in fact).  Senior management says that oil and gas prices have pushed them over the brink, which of course relates to a letter one of our readers sent in from the last newsletter.  Meaning, dependency on foreign oil and gas is a dangerous and precarious game, which can have economic fallout in ways you may not even realize.  Couple that with the fact that the Chinese now effectively control the US government debt markets as Americas largest creditor and you soon realize how much of the US economy is out of domestic US control, and subject to the whims of foreigners.  On this theme, it is also very telling to note that the Japanese have STOPPED buying US dollars in 2004 and have stayed away ever since (although they still own quite a bit of US government debt, they are NOT adding to their holdings).  Maybe that is because the only available action remaining in the hands of US politicians and the US central bank (Federal Reserve) is to print money and devalue the money supply and the Japanese know it.  Of course the economic news and sound bites emanating from politicians and economy gurus tells a different story.  Believe whom ever you wish, but the information is out there regardless.  Also remember that history often repeats.  Former US President Roosevelt moved to severely devalue the US Dollar during the so-called Great Depression in order to balance the books (of course he stole, ahem - or I should rather say confiscated, the private gold holdings of US citizens before the devaluation).  Of course that was a different time in terms of who owned all the US debt and companies during that time period were not closing up shop and exporting jobs off to China, but I digress.  Is the US Federal Reserve attempting an old trick, not realizing that many of the economic fundamentals are quite different today?  Are we experiencing Déjà Vu all over again, albeit with possibly different consequences BECAUSE the economic ownership mix being very different today?         
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BANKRUPTCY REFORMS PASSED BY MSPs
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New laws that aim to tackle Scotland's growing debt problem have been backed by MSPs at Holyrood.  The Bankruptcy and Diligence Bill, passed by 64 votes to 50, aims to provide a better balance between the rights of debtors and creditors.  Opposition MSPs had initially expressed anger at a new power, which could allow a family home to be sold to meet debts.  The Scottish Executive said the power would be used sparingly but promised to hold a review.  However, Shelter Scotland said MSPs had missed an opportunity to avoid people becoming homeless for a debt of £3,000.  The debt threshold for which a debtor's home or land could be repossessed was originally set at £1,500.
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http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/scotland/6196708.stm
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COMPROMISE ON BANKRUPTCY LAWS IS BLASTED
Edinburgh Evening News - November 30, 2006
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A last minute compromise over new bankruptcy laws was dismissed today by anti-poverty campaigners who said it still meant people could lose their homes for debts of just £3000.  MSPs were voting today on the final stages of the Bankruptcy and Diligence Bill, which will allow creditors to use land attachment orders against people with unsecured debts, such as credit card bills, of over £3000. Then, if the debt is not repaid within six months, the debtor's home and land can be sold.
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http://edinburghnews.scotsman.com/
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EDITORS NOTES:  Since 1997, personal consumer bankruptcies have increased by more than 30 percent in Scotland.  Of course, to add insult to injury, someone can throw you out of your home if you owe 3000 pounds in credit card or other kinds of personal debt (about US$6,000 give or take).  Why is the Scottish Parliament all of a sudden talking about bankruptcy laws and why are personal bankruptcies on the rise in the UK as well?  Are we seeing something indicative of a global recession (dare we say Depression?) that extends far beyond the borders of the US?
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THE DOLLAR DAM IS BRAKING
By: Richard Benson, SFGroup - December 1, 2006
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Treasury Secretary, Henry M. Paulson, is rushing off to China next month and will lead a delegation to Beijing for the inaugural meeting of the U.S. - China Strategic Economic Dialogue.   He'll be taking high-ranking Administration officials with him, including Federal Reserve Chairman, Ben S. Bernanke.  Because Hank and Ben are responsible for stabilizing the financial markets and need to work together to try and stabilize the dollar, their activities in China will undoubtedly be closely watched worldwide.  Hank and Ben are also part of the Working Group in a team, which includes the heads of the SEC and the Commodity Futures Trading Association, commonly referred to on Wall Street as the Plunge Protection Team (PPI).  This Team has the entire United States Treasury at their disposal and this trip to China could undermine faith in the Administration's ability to fix the massive Trade Deficit problem in an orderly manner.  Preventing another 1987 Black Monday is on the Agenda, but the investing public will never be told that it is.         
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The China trip means that the ticking time bomb at the bottom of the dollar dam needs to be defused before it blows up, and the value of the dollar is swept away.  Both the Republican Administration and the Democratic Congress want China, and the rest of Asia, to end their policies of manipulating their currencies down, by building up massive foreign exchange holdings.  The new Congress is tuned into the fact that China has tariffs of 25 percent on imports such as autos, and is very tired of seeing American labor slaughtered.   (In 2007 GM, Ford and Chrysler - as well as auto parts suppliers such as Delphi - are buying 100,000 workers out of their jobs or just letting them go.)   To make trade fair again, Congress is willing to take the action of imposing tariffs if China and Asia do not revalue.   In turn, China may threaten to dump their dollars, unless the Fed keeps interest rates high.  If China starts selling dollars, the dam will break.
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Not only does the U.S. owe a net $3 trillion to foreigners, we now pay more in interest overseas than we collect from abroad.  Foreigners hold $13 trillion in dollar assets that are at immediate and painful risk to any dollar weakness.  Indeed, that volume of liquid assets is just about equal to the total GDP.  A 30 percent drop in the dollar, could cost foreign investors an easy $3 trillion in lost purchasing power, not to mention the loss to U.S. citizens who own over $46 trillion in dollar net worth assets.  Our leaders must find a way to lower the U.S. Trade Deficit, or risk the dollar losing its unique position as the World's Reserve Currency.  This fact alone warrants the trip to China.  America's currency problem is a very sad day for the Republic.   It used to be that the Federal Reserve policy was set simply with domestic economic policy in mind.  In years past, we could virtually ignore the dollar in setting monetary policy because it was totally secure in its role as the World Reserve Currency.   But today, because of our country's profligate fiscal and over-easy monetary policies, the dollar has been undermined so much so that, sadly, it may be no more secure as a store of value than the citizens of Baghdad are, walking the streets. 
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http://news.goldseek.com/SFG/1165008154.php
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EDITORS NOTES:  So, Treasury Secretary, Henry M. Paulson and US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke are now known as the PLUNGE PROTECTION team among Wall Street insiders. Does this mean that Helicopter Ben has changed job functions and is now a plumber?  Maybe they will start calling the duo Super Mario Brothers and come up with a new Nintendo game just in time for Christmas?  Regardless of the cute, or even not so cute, names you come up with - it is certainly very telling is that these high ranking US officials have to go off on a backside kissing tour to a foreign country that only a few years ago was considered to be a third world communist basket case.  What will our heroes do?  Will they introduce interest rate and other economic policies to make our Chinese financiers happy, allowing the domestic US middle class to suffer in the process?  Will they do everything they can to promote a stable currency and policies to make sure the US middle class do not get wiped out?  I guess we will have to wait and see what new game levels the programmers come up with in terms of our new Super Mario adventures.  Too bad this is all real life and not just a meaningless form of home entertainment for the kids.  Personally speaking, I never even owned a video game, so I will be content to watch from the sidelines.  How about you?
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EVEN SCORE FOR U.S. WORKERS, PRODUCTS
By William P. Condo - November 30, 2006
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While Kathryn Friedman's Speaking Out essay on economic globalization (Building walls to free trade would hurt upstate economy, Oct. 30) advises that western New York would suffer from protectionist trade policies, she does not discuss the realities that our federal government must address to create a level playing field -- and it is our federal government that negotiates trade policy, not local corporations or business groups.
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While trade has been an important economic activity since before the Phoenicians sailed the Mediterranean, free trade policy in the 21st century is yet to be achieved. With tariffs imposed by governments on various products, artificially controlled currencies and government-subsidized economic sectors, free trade today is a myth, and the United States has allowed itself to become a disadvantaged competitor.  Most economists agree that the U.S. foreign trade deficit is unsustainable. The prestigious Economic Policy Institute reported that trade imbalances in manufacturing have accounted for 59 percent of the decline in U.S. manufacturing since 1998, and that about 935,000 jobs were lost because of rising manufacturing imports in 2000-03. New York State lost 87,037 manufacturing jobs during this period.  China, Malaysia and Taiwan account for 30 percent of the U.S. trade deficit; Japan and China play the increasing role of banker for our huge federal debt.  The bottom line for many U.S. companies improves by moving operations to low-wage countries, but what is the real cost to our national well-being?
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Out-of-work Americans struggle to find lower-paying jobs, and our public and private social services network takes on a growing responsibility to provide for those who cannot financially survive.  Foreign workers employed by U.S. companies overseas do not pay into our Social Security and Medicare systems, thus subtracting payroll revenue from the future solvency of these programs.  And our intellectual advantage in creating products is rapidly being outsourced to educated and highly capable employees in other countries. Consider that Delphi Corp. is investing heavily in research and technology in India and growing by 20 percent yearly there while it works through bankruptcy in the United States.  One could conclude that the United States is unprepared to compete effectively in a global marketplace, and there is little to suggest that our trade and employment patterns will substantially improve.
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http://www.democratandchronicle.com/
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EDITORS NOTES:  Now that we have dragged issues about economic freedom through the proverbial mud, let us also examine others kinds of freedoms, or perhaps better said, our civil liberties (what is remaining of them).
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USA TO GROUND ALL TRAVELLERS UNTIL CLEARED:
Security as a blanket presumption of guilt - By Thomas C Greene
Monday 6th November 2006
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No one will be permitted to board an aircraft or a marine vessel leaving or bound for the United States until cleared by the US Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Bureau of Customs and Border Protection (CBP), under proposed regulations.  Under current regs, the US requires airlines to transmit their manifests no later than fifteen minutes after a plane is in the air, wheels up. This, according to DHS, allows known terrorists to board, then hijack or blow up, commercial planes during the deadly window of opportunity provided between boarding time and when the aircraft is finally diverted or shot down by fighter planes scrambled to escort it. However, if the manifests were to be transmitted before the planes leave the gate, DHS would have time to ensure that high-risk passengers are prevented from boarding in the first place, with a subsequent reduction in the number of commercial aircraft needing to be blown out of the skies by their military escorts. Other benefits would include fewer diverted flights, with fewer holidays spoiled and business appointments postponed. Which all sounds quite reasonable.
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For DHS, it's a public relations dream come true. No longer will their crummy databases with their prolific false positives create entire planeloads of hateful citizens at each go. Now, only one poor bugger in a turban at a time is going to be inconvenienced for no good reason. When handled individually before boarding, selectees can easily be detained, intimidated, humiliated, cavity-searched, and then released as soon as DHS realizes its error, without other passengers, and most importantly, the press, taking notice.  Using its Advance Passenger Information System (APIS), DHS has the ability to screen an entire manifest within one hour, or to screen individuals within fifteen minutes of boarding. Airlines will be given a choice between transmitting an entire manifest under the one-hour rule, or transmitting the required biographical information on each passenger in real time under an optional fifteen-minute rule.  Under both options, the carrier will not permit the boarding of a passenger unless the passenger has been cleared by CBP, the Department explains.  From a security point of view, the new APIS regulation is just another useless counter terrorist rain dance. But from a civil-liberties point of view, there are some curious implications.  DHS is essentially admitting, without embarrassment, that it is the arbiter of who can travel. This has been the case for some time, since APIS compliance became an obsession in the wake of 9/11. DHS has been diverting flights at will, and removing (usually innocent) undesirables. What's new here is merely the language: All passengers must be cleared in advance by the Department.  In a practical sense, this has been going on for years, only it's been buried under steaming piles of counter terrorist rhetoric. DHS is finally admitting the plain truth: every one of us is on a no-fly list. We are all unfit to travel, until some government clerk verifies that our names don't match his sloppy list of suspected evildoers. Even US citizens cannot enter or leave the USA until they are approved - until they've passed the database test.  The North Korean government has the same basic arrangement, only they don't try to hide it. It's about time Uncle Sam came clean about his own travel approval process. And now, finally, he has
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http://www.theregister.com/2006/11/06/grounded_until_further_notice/
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EDITORS NOTES:  Will permission soon be required to leave the US?  A new program initiated by the US Transportation Security Administration has come to our attention and it is called Secure Flight.  Of course, this is not completely new and an extension of the previous no fly list initiatives, such as the CAPPS system, which was scrapped due to errors and problems of various sorts.  All the hype says it is meant to make US air (and other kinds of) travel safer and easier (quicker to pass through long security lines).  However, my mind wanders as to what really is the true long-term agenda at hand, if you are willing to take a skeptical eye towards such things.  Meaning, supposedly all these initiatives are meant to keep the bad guys away.  Fine, I understand that and agree with programs and policies to protect innocent citizens.  But would it not make more sense to prevent the bad guys from entering in the first place?  Why is it that further civil liberties of domestic citizens are eroded in the name of security, yet problems with illegal and other kinds of immigration abound, including the wide open issue of ports and container shipping, not to mention the still on-going problems and debate about porous borders in general?
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We are told that US jobs have gone away due to outsourcing YET at the same time private industry is pressuring the US government to issue even MORE work visas to foreigners (not less) with the argument there are not enough educated US citizens for certain jobs.  Which is it?  The jobs have gone, or there are so many jobs and not enough qualified US citizens to fill them?  Then we have the case of a recent 700-Mile border fence initiative, which may or may be funded and built as the political reality differs from the hype (which is often more so the case than not).  In other words, I bait the question - is it really the case they want to keep the foreign bad guys out or is it possible the idea is to keep US citizens (and their money) from leaving down the proverbial short-term road? 
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I know quite well that this sounds like a wild-eyed conspiracy theory, and maybe it is, but I propose the idea of it just the same, for the sake of questioning the actual intent or practical application.  Perhaps it is the case of reading too much into things and reading too much in general.  But, there are a few things that concern me.  For example, on the TSA website they themselves say: A passenger may be deemed ineligible to fly, if his or her name is similar to one found on a watch list.  So how it is determined that one gets to be added on to this watch list?  Well, the news article from the Mercury News says that in order to get one of these Clear Pass things: The Transportation Security Administration needs to complete background checks, which include checking terrorist-related databases, criminal databases for outstanding warrants and other databases to confirm citizenship (applicants will be informed if they are approved or denied, with no explanation).
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The term OTHER databases is what makes me curious and concerned at the same time.  Since having an outstanding warrant makes you ineligible to travel (or supposedly so if that is one of the criteria), does this mean someone with some unpaid parking tickets are refused the ability to take public transportation, such as an airplane or train?  How does one determine the severity of a warrant for one thing versus a warrant for another?  They claim one of the checks involves reviewing a database to confirm citizenship ALONG with a database to see if you are listed as a bad guy.  So, if it is true that all the bad guys are presumably radical foreigners, why check for US citizenship?  If the border patrol or immigration authorities have done their job, in theory there should not be undocumented foreign citizens running around in the first place - no?  And what other criteria or databases are collected and screened?  If you are branded a trouble-maker because you were arrested for protesting (hopefully peaceably and you did not destroy any property in the process) eminent domain policies in your home town last year or whatever else for that matter, does that mean you are on some no travel government database list?  What about tax disputes?  How difficult is it really to extend the reasons why someone might be prohibited from traveling, or better said, leaving?
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I have said many times that technology has indeed changed the way we live and do business, and often enough for the better.  We can communicate faster and cheaper than ever before.  We can conduct business around the world from our living room, send and obtain documents and even do our banking half way around the world as well.  But technology does have its dark side.  If some government really wanted to further increase control over its citizens, and restrict personal or individual liberty in the process - how difficult would that be today considering all the various tools and programs currently available?  In a so-called free society and democracy, striking the balance between security and civil liberty is very difficult indeed.  However, great care must be made to insure one is not tipped in the extreme against the other.  In any event, I offer you the following news items and information to consider.  You decide where all this might be going.  As for me, if you bother to study the last few thousand years of human history as it pertains to political leaders and governments, the track record so far is not in favor of more freedom for the average citizen - if of course government ever had the opportunity to tip the scales as it were.  Technology certainly can be a scale tipper and you should keep in mind the following:
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In 2005 Congress ordered the Government Accountability Office to investigate the Transportation Security Administration's airline passenger screening programs. The GAO found significant problems with handling of personal information and violations of privacy laws. The GAO turned its findings over to the Privacy Office, which then did its own investigation. The Privacy Office claims to have continued its work with the TSA to resolve these issues. However, the report did not resolve EPIC's concerns about TSA redress procedures -- namely that citizens do not have the right to litigate to ensure their records are correct or even to view their records.
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Source:  http://privacynotes.com/privacy_blog/
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HERE IS WHAT THE TSA SAYS THEMSELVES:
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The Transportation Security Administration (TSA) is developing a passenger pre-screening program called Secure Flight. Secure Flight involves the submission of a limited amount of passenger information by an aircraft operator to TSA whenever a reservation is made for a flight in which the origin and destination are domestic airports.  It is important to note that the information collected by the aircraft operators and submitted to TSA will be used solely for the purpose of comparing a subset of the passenger reservation data to watch lists. No other use of the information is authorized.  A passenger may be selected for additional screening at the airport, or may be deemed ineligible to fly, if his or her name is similar to one found on a watch list. Secure Flight strives to facilitate the air travel of legitimate passengers by reducing the number of individuals who are misidentified. TSA will also provide a redress opportunity for travelers who are misidentified. 
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http://www.tsa.gov/what_we_do/layers/secureflight/editorial_1716.shtm
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HOW TO SIGN UP FOR YOUR CLEAR CARD
Mercury News - December 4, 2006
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Here's what it takes to get a Clear registered traveler card: a credit card, about 20 minutes and a willingness to surrender some personal information.  Applying for a card can be done from home (www.flyclear.com) or at Mineta San Jose International Airport Terminal C, near the food court, where laptops are available. Travelers need two forms of government-issued ID, one of which must prove U.S. citizenship or permanent foreign residency; a driver's license and passport are preferred.  Kiosks are also set up at Terminal A, but there are no computers for the initial sign-up process.  Although we had no problems applying for a card -- it took less than 30 minutes on a weekday morning at Terminal C -- some travelers have encountered a few glitches. Tom Sharp, a hospital consultant from Fremont, said machines froze in Terminal A when he tried to sign up in September. Steve Brill, chief executive of Verified Identity Pass, said he was aware of only a few isolated problems getting an online connection at the airport.  Customer service agents are available to assist applicants and to take their biometric images and photograph. A Clear spokeswoman said it takes two to four weeks for the Transportation Security Administration to complete background checks, which include checking terrorist-related databases, criminal databases for outstanding warrants and other databases to confirm citizenship (applicants will be informed if they are approved or denied, with no explanation).
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http://www.mercurynews.com/mld/mercurynews/living/16159753.htm
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EDITORS NOTES:  With no explanation.  That indeed should be a phrase of concern.  The article below says that such lists are compiled based on recommendations and information received from federal agencies, including law enforcement and intelligence.  What does recommendations mean?  Who exactly recommends and why or how?  Does this mean that someone who does not have any criminal record or is not necessarily a known bad guy can be recommended NOT to travel?  If you purchase a copy of the Koran on-line from say Amazon, or send in a donation to the ACLU does that mean you might be recommended in some way or form?  I know, it sounds petty, trivial and maybe even a bit full of sound and fury, signifying nothing.  On the other hand, how difficult would it be really for any politician or government employee to cross the line?  Have they not done so already is many, many cases?  They say that power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely.  What are the safeguards to liberty when government claims the divine right to restrict travel, plus flows of money and personal commerce, and other kinds of liberties associated with a free society in the name of protection - knowing full well that absolute guaranteed protection is a myth at best?     
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PI IN THE SKY: MATH COULD HELP PROTECT AGAINST TERRORISM
By James Gilden, Special to The Los Angeles Times - November 19, 2006
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THERE may be a new weapon for helping guard the nation's airplanes against terrorism -- and this one doesn't come loaded with bullets or employ Space Age technology. It is mathematics. Or specifically, the mathematics involved in the field of operations research.  Operations research is a little-known but valuable tool for such things as scheduling airline flight crews, planning National Football League seasons and even designing waiting lines at Walt Disney World. And in a report released on Monday, it was used to assess the effectiveness of the nation's security screening of airline passengers.  Using a mathematical model, Susan E. Martonosi, an assistant professor of mathematics at Harvey Mudd College in Claremont, and Arnold Barnett, a professor of management science at MIT, sought to explore the effectiveness of the no-fly lists in preventing terrorism. The conclusions they reached were less remarkable perhaps than the way they evaluated the program.
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They found that improving the screening required of all passengers at security checkpoints would do more to enhance security than further refinements to the pre-screening of passengers by no-fly lists. The Transportation Security Administration has run afoul of privacy groups and Congress in its attempts to update the no-fly list, which before Sept. 11 was called CAPPS for Computer Assisted Passenger Profiling System. The old system flagged six of the 19 hijackers on Sept. 11, for secondary screening, but that additional checking did not prevent them from boarding their flights. After an attempt at a CAPPS II was scrapped in 2004, the TSA is moving forward with a newly named passenger profiling system it calls Secure Flight.  We are getting very close to completion, said TSA spokeswoman Jennifer Peppin-Marty.  Privacy and security are being built into the foundation of the program.  Currently, the airlines are charged with making sure that passengers are not on the watch list. It is compiled based on recommendations and information received from federal agencies, including law enforcement and intelligence. When Secure Flight is implemented, that responsibility will transfer to the TSA.
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http://www.latimes.com/travel/
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EDITORS NOTES:  The last line of the above article states: When Secure Flight is implemented, that responsibility will transfer to the TSA.  Keep in mind that the TSA is a division of the Department of Homeland Security.  Want to know how secure those computers with all those databases containing all of your personal information really are?  Remember, we are talking about the supposedly all-powerful, all secure and resource rich government here and not some poor guy with a personal computer running some over the counter anti-virus program.  See below.
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THE VIRUS THAT ATE  DHS
Thursday, November 02, 2006 - FreeMarketNews.com
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A Morocco-born computer virus that crashed the Department of Homeland Security's US-VISIT border screening system last year first passed though the backbone network of the Immigrations and Customs Enforcement bureau, according to newly released documents on the incident.  The documents were released by court order, following a yearlong battle by Wired News to obtain the pages under the Freedom of Information Act. They provide the first official acknowledgement that DHS erred by deliberately leaving more than 1,300 sensitive US-VISIT workstations vulnerable to attack, even as it mounted an all-out effort to patch routine desktop computers against the virulent Zotob worm.
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http://www.freemarketnews.com/WorldNews.asp?nid=25209
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PROTECTING NATIONAL SECURITY AND BRITNEY'S HOOHAH
Dr. Emilio Bombay, December 4, 2006 - Star Telegram
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How does it make you feel knowing that a bunch of unqualified loonies who can't even figure out how to practice what they preach are in charge of this nation's security? And that they have absolutely no regard for your personal privacy? I know, I know, we should be used to that after the past six years.  Now I don't know if you paid attention to any of the real news from last week -- or if you even care. I know you're much more interested in who's winning on America's Next Top Model or that Britney Spears has apparently lost her last remaining brain cell and is flashing her hoohah all over the tabloids. By the way, Britney, please put that thing away. It's giving us nightmares.  Furthermore, a 2005 GAO report says that DHS has not fully addressed any of the (key) responsibilities related to cybersecurity and national security, nor has it developed national cyber threat and vulnerability assessments or government/industry contingency recovery plans. Why am I not surprised?  Was the August crash some sort of nefarious, far-reaching terrorist plot? Hardly. It was a teenager in Morocco who decided it would be cool to find a way to exploit the Windows vulnerability, which he did in less than a week.  I know we'll all sleep better tonight.
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Now, the other nutty thing that's going on over at DHS has actually been around for a while but we're just finding out about it. For the past four years, Homeland Security has used a sophisticated data-mining system to quietly assess the risk posed by almost everyone entering or leaving the U.S. by air, sea or land. The Automated Targeting System scores travelers based on such things as point of origin, how tickets were paid for, motor-vehicle records, past one-way travel, seating preferences and even what meals were ordered. In retrospect, I suppose it was a bad idea for me to order the pita, hummus and cucumber sandwich on that last one-way flight I took.  The program was quietly revealed in the Federal Register, that voluminous tome of federal rules and regulations published daily, and the few people that actually tripped over it looking for the lingerie ads thought it only pertained to cargo.  Not only could you conceivably be bumped from your flight home for Christmas and be asked to have a friendly little chat in the security office if you fit the profile -- justified or not, it doesn't matter -- the ATS data can be shared with state, local and foreign governments as guidance in hiring decisions and in issuing security clearances, licenses or contracts. The data may also be shared with courts, Congress and private contractors, according to the Register.
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If you really don't care about this, and don't see the problem with it, then consider that you are not allowed to see your own risk assessment or challenge it, and that it's going to be on file for the next 40 years. Or that it means the government is delving into private databases to dig up dirt on you, whether it's warranted or not, in utter disregard for your privacy. Himmler would have loved a program like that.  If you still don't care about this, and you think it's a necessary step for protecting the country, start asking yourself how much more of your privacy are you will to give up and how many more personal freedoms will be stolen away from you and never returned?  After all, DHS hasn't proven itself to be to the most reliable or competent agency around, as the above examples profusely illustrate, but I suppose the ham-handed, uninformed, arrogant manner in which it does business is typical of any government bureaucracy. The only problem with that is that we've been led to think DHS is making things safer, so we let ourselves think about other more pressing things, like Britney's hoohah.  I'm beginning to think the boys at DHS don't really know what they're doing. Or worse, maybe they do.
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http://www.dfw.com/mld/dfw/16161695.htm
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EDITORS NOTES:  Imagine that.  A teenaged computer geek in Morocco crashed the Homeland Security Computers back in August of 2006.  To add insult to injury, he was not even trying to specifically target any particular government agency or office, it just ended up that way.  Imagine the damage that someone could do if they really tried, on purpose that is.  Oh, and before I forget, happy holidays and travel safe.  I feel better knowing that big brother is watching.  The problem is, whom he is watching and why does still concern me though.
© Ascot Advisory Services 2006

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