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About The Author:
John Schroder of Ascot Advisory Services writes articles for a number of publications and e-zines regarding topics and issues of interest or concern to clients.  As an expatriate himself, John has lived abroad for many years, and assists clients with services related to the topics on this web site.
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Our April 2, 2008 Newsletter Edition
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DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REAL ESTATE:
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Global Property Guide has just finished a survey in March of 2008 regarding Caribbean Real Estate prices, and guess what?  The Dominican Republic is STILL THE ONE OF THE BEST VALUES in the entire Caribbean.  Bermuda is found to be the worst, with the average price of a three bedroom house and lot at about US$1.5 million.  Do you know what you can buy in the Dominican Republic for that kind of money?  Do you know what you can buy in the DR for just twenty percent of that amount?  The answer may surprise you, but then again, if you have been reading our articles for a few years not, maybe not.  Regardless, Global Property Guide also reports the following:
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Property prices in highly-developed areas such as Bermuda and Bahamas exceed US$7,000 per square meter.  Coastal properties in Barbados are also expensive, at around US$6,700 per sq. m. In the British Virgin Islands (BVI), the US Virgin Islands (USVI), real estate prices are around US$5,000 per square meter.  Saint Marten also has expensive properties at around US$5,300 per square meter.  Property prices in St. Kitts and Nevis, Puerto Rico, Martinique, St. Lucia and Antigua and Barbuda range from US$3,170 per square meter to US$4,500 per square meter.  The cheapest Caribbean properties are found in Jamaica, Aruba and Dominican Republic, with prices ranging from US$1,300 per square meter to US$1,500 per square meter for houses near the beach. 
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For apartment buyers, Bermuda and Turks and Caicos Islands (TCI) are among the most expensive with prices at around US$5,000 to US$8,000 per square meter.  A two bedroom apartment costs around US$841,000 in Bermuda and US$670,000 in TCI.  Despite these high prices, Caribbean properties are now considerably cheaper than coastal properties in Mediterranean Europe. For instance, apartment prices in Barcelona are around US$10,000 per square meter, more than twice the price of apartments in Bahamas or Cayman Islands.
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http://www.globalpropertyguide.com/
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In short, with the US dollar heading for the basement, and gold plus other commodities already demonstrating an exponential run-up, reasonably priced real estate may be one of your best options to maintain purchasing power, or better said, as a hedge so inflation does not wreck havoc on your personal wealth.  Of course, the key is to buy something of value and at reasonable cost as opposed to either over-paying or buying real estate some where that may see further declines in value during 2008.
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For more information about a home or luxury apartment in the Santo Domingo, Juan Dolio and greater outlying areas (Bani, etc.), please feel free to visit the following:
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http://www.dominican-republic-info.com
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QUOTE OF THE MONTH:
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If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of our currency, first by inflation, then by deflation, the banks and the corporations that will grow up will deprive the people of all property until their children wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered. - So Said Mr. Thomas Jefferson, 200 years ago.
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IN THE NEWS:
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ARE ASIAN ECONOMIES DECOUPLING FROM U.S.?
By Howard Winn - March 20, 2008
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The debate over whether emerging markets are decoupling from the US continues to rumble on. With the US economy slowing and probably heading into recession, the debate is of particular interest at this time. Here Jonathan Garner, managing director and head of global emerging markets equity strategy with Morgan Stanley, explains why he thinks that emerging markets will weather this slowdown far better than in previous US slowdowns.  The emerging markets are now 30% of the global economy at current exchange rates. They are even larger now than developed Europe and their share of global GDP is steadily rising and will continue to rise, I suspect, for the foreseeable future.  I would say we are exiting the US-centric world pretty quickly. And if we are right about this, emerging markets will contribute over 60% of global growth this year. Last year they contributed about 48%.
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http://www.businessweek.com/globalbiz/content/mar2008/
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THINK BUBBLE TROUBLE IS OVER?  KEEP AN EYE ON COMMODITIES
March 25, 2008
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The commodity bubble could be the next to burst. Oil prices had one of their sharpest falls ever last week, and other markets seem to be teetering.  Commodities have kept soaring despite the credit crunch. Oil, copper, iron ore and foodstuffs have risen to record prices in the last few months. The contrast with stocks, let alone housing and credit, has been stark.  Bulls argue that demand from rapidly developing countries like China and India justifies the high prices. But in reality, commodities have become the last refuge for speculators as other bubbles have popped.  Rapidly growing demand only explains why prices stay high enough to fund new investment in wells and mines. For oil, that is somewhere between $40 and $60 a barrel. The story is similar in most other commodities.  Speculation explains much of the gap. Commodity traders until now have enjoyed low margin requirements, meaning they can leverage their bets to the hilt.  It's too early to say that the top is history. But U.S. demand is weakening and Chinese authorities are trying to rein in domestic growth. Potentially more important, the credit crunch could finally catch up with commodity speculators.
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http://online.wsj.com/
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EDITORS NOTES:  This is a legitimate economic argument, and the gentlemen that wrote this, could be on to something.  Which is to say, in a normal free market, prices are set by supply and demand.  Not enough supply, and too much demand - prices rise.  Too much supply and not enough demand - prices fall.  At least, that is the way it is supposed to work.  However, certainly it can be argued that investment money has recently been chasing commodities as an inflation, investment hedge.  We could say even, that there has been speculation in the commodities markets by players who are not end users of such materials (such as pipe or plumbing supply manufacturers in terms of copper, bakeries in terms of wheat or other grains, and so on).  And so, maybe it can be argued that there is now a bubble forming in commodity markets.  After all, the inflation money supply has to show up somewhere, and that money is surely not going into the domestic US housing, stock or bond markets.
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While it is true that demand from India and China is driving demand for many of the world's commodities, the argument is that a severe US recession would certainly reduce demand somewhat going forward, thus taking some of the pressure off.  That being the assumption, if a good portion of commodity price increases has been caused by a buying binge from investors (speculation for investment purposes rather than true end users), and that money investment all of a sudden pulls out, then of course one can make the argument for a decline in some of these market prices as a result.  What is the solution? 
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First off, do not speculate, but rather consider swapping out the devaluing fiat paper money for something else that will hold it's value, and preferably something that is going to be a long term core asset comprising your personal wealth.  Two of our favorites are gold, and real estate.  Gold of course has had a decent run, but in inflation adjusted terms, still not at an all time high just yet (in fact, in today's inflation adjusted dollars, the previous high of January 21, 1980 comes in at US$2,284 in today's equivalent, and we are not even half way there just yet).  The key to real estate of course involves the old maxim of buying low or at reasonable prices.  Certainly the US real estate market looks like it may have some more to go in terms of a meltdown, and some other foreign markets have gotten out of whack in terms of being over priced (Mumbai, Dubai, and Acapulco come to mind).  However, there still is some reasonably priced (read not over inflated) real estate out there, and owning dirt never hurt anyone (unless of course it was mortgaged to the hilt).  Of course, at the ridiculous price of US$7,000 per square meter, one may wish to stay clear of the Bahamas and Bermuda.    
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US TAXPATRIATES COMPILED BY THE INTERNAL REVENUE SERVICE
By John Gaver - February 15, 2008
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The list below contains links to the US Government's official lists of Tax-Patriates, as compiled quarterly by the IRS, required under 26 USC 877(a)(1). Under this law, the people on this list may be taxed for ten years after they renounced their citizenship. Furthermore, under 8 USC 1182(a)(10)(E)), these persons may not be allowed back into the US for any reason. For some unknown reason, the lists are not always published in order. We present links to these lists, to demonstrate just how far our government will go to control us. If you think that it can't happen to you, just imagine how many people on these lists thought the same thing, prior to 1996.
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Even facing such penalties, wealthy US citizens continue to leave the US at an alarming rate. The following lists show conclusively that the exodus of US citizens and their wealth is not only continuing, but growing (see chart below). What these lists fail to show is the vast and increasing numbers of wealthy US citizens who are just dropping out - taking ALL of their wealth and leaving the US without ever renouncing. They just disappear off of the US tax rolls and appear on some other country's tax rolls. The INS estimated the total at over 300,000 per year and rising, in their 2000 Statistical Yearbook and that was prior to the 9-11 terrorist attacks. Tax haven countries are recording significantly larger numbers of US applicants for permanent residence or second citizenship every year.
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Keep in mind that most of those expatriates are wealthy, since poor people can't afford to leave. In fact, millions of poor people risk their lives in the back of trailers or crossing Arizona desert every year, to take advantage of our increasing welfare state. It is the wealthy, who are leaving and they represent lost US investment dollars and subsequently, LOST US JOBS.
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Instead of reducing the number of tax-patriates, these oppressive laws have actually increased tax-patriation. But, to make matters worse, wealthy expatriates are now taking ALL of their money with them, to prevent it from being taxed for ten years after they leave (26 USC 877(a)(1)). The small flood of tax-patriates predicted by the Forbes Magazine article, The New Refugees (Nov 21, 1994 v154 n12 p131(5)) is threatening to become a large flood in the not too distant future. Also see the Forbes article, And don't come back, (Nov 18, 1996 v158, n12, p44(2)). See the article, The Economy Bomb, for more information on these numbers.  When big money is forced out of the US, it is the average citizen who has to make up the difference in higher taxes. The Income Tax and US government attacks on wealth is costing you money in more ways than you know!
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http://actionamerica.org/taxecon/taxpats.shtml
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EDITORS NOTES:  Three Hundred Thousand Americans per year are heading for the exit so says the above article, or more correctly, so estimates the US Immigration and Naturalization Service (and you might want to take note of all those green card holders deciding to head for the border, or back home to their country of birth as well).  Perhaps incredible, but not unforeseen.  And of course, as the above author mentions, that number is theoretically only those persons that they know about, and not inclusive of those that perhaps decided to simply disappear (and not report in or otherwise formally renounce citizenship).  However, we have heard the argument and criticism about so-called tax exiles many times before.  Which is, that such persons are socially irresponsible ingrates and so on.  On the other hand, who in their right mind wants to hang around when you know a hurricane, metaphorically speaking, is on it's way?  One would have to be a special kind of stupid to willfully and voluntarily see your family go broke or be put into hardship when other options are available (especially when the problems was none of your doing or fault).  Naturally the Fabian Socialists will counter with the slogan: we are all in this together.  Funny how we are only all in this together when some bank or brokerage firm goes bust, but you never see these folks when you children's dental bills need to be paid, or when you wife is ill and the insurance company regrets to inform you they will only pay 50 percent of the medical costs, or when inflation is running amuck but your paycheck is not, and the list goes on and on and on.  Must be something in the water supply.   
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WHAT CREATED THIS MONSTER?
By Nelson  D. Schwartz and Julie Creswell - March 23, 2008
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Like Noah building his ark as thunderheads gathered, Bill Gross has spent the last two years anticipating the flood that swamped Bear Stearns about 10 days ago.  Even though Mr. Gross, 63, is a market veteran who has lived through the collapse of other banks and brokerage firms, the 1987 stock market crash, and the near meltdown of the Long-Term Capital Management hedge fund a decade ago, he says the current crisis feels different in both size and significance. 
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The Federal Reserve not only taken has action unprecedented since the Great Depression by lending money directly to major investment banks, but also has put taxpayers on the hook for billions of dollars in questionable trades these same bankers made when the good times were rolling.  Bear Stearns has made it obvious that things have gone too far, says Mr. Gross, who plans to use some of his cash to bargain-shop.  The investment community has morphed into something beyond banks and something beyond regulation. We call it the shadow banking system.
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As Congress and Republican and Democratic presidential administrations pushed for financial deregulation over the last decade, the biggest banks and brokerage firms created a dizzying array of innovative products that experts now acknowledge are hard to understand and even harder to value.  On Wall Street, of course, what you do not see can hurt you. In the past decade, there has been an explosion in complex derivative instruments, such as collateralized debt obligations and credit default swaps, which were intended primarily to transfer risk.  These products are virtually hidden from investors, analysts and regulators, even though they have emerged as one of Wall Streets most outsized profit engines. They do not trade openly on public exchanges, and financial services firms disclose few details about them.  Used judiciously, derivatives can limit the damage from financial miscues and uncertainty, greasing the wheels of commerce. Used unwisely when greed and the urge to gamble with borrowed money overtake sensible risk-taking, derivatives can become Wall Streets version of nitroglycerin.
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Bear Stearns vast portfolio of these instruments was among the main reasons for the banks collapse, but derivatives are buried in the accounts of just about every Wall Street firm, as well as major commercial banks like Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase.  What's more, these exotic investments have been exported all over the globe, causing losses in places as distant from Wall Street as a small Norwegian town north of the Arctic Circle.  With Bear Stearns forced into a sale and the entire financial system still under the threat of further losses, Wall Street executives, regulators and politicians are scrambling to figure out just what went wrong and how it can be fixed.  But because the forces that have collided in recent weeks were set in motion long before the sub-prime mortgage mess first made news last year, solutions won't come easily or quickly, analysts say.  In fact, while home loans to risky borrowers were among the first to go bad, analysts say that the crisis did not stem from the housing market alone and that it certainly won't end there.
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http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/23/business/
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EDITORS NOTES:  In a recent March television news interview with former US Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers, he admitted that one of the down sides to the current policies being pursued by the US Federal Reserve is inflation, with the focus being on trying to avoid or assuage recession as opposed to controlling run away inflation.  However, this is not any new news for you (you saw this coming back in 2007).  What caught our attention (and perturbed us as well) was a comment by another participant as it pertained to this problem of sub-prime mortgages and foreclosures (which was the main theme of the discussion).  This individual, a conservative university academic who seemingly has the ear of those that make fiscal and economic policy, had commented that the US Treasury and the US Federal Reserve need to coordinate some strategic solution that strikes a balance between the banks, the borrowers and the US Tax-Payer.  The US tax-payer?  Since when was a tax-payer in Texas or Hawaii or Montana involved with a private business transaction between a bank (or other lender, such as a mortgage company) and a borrower in Ohio, for example?  There are two parties involved in a mortgage process (count them, only TWO), the lender and the borrower.  If both were extremely stupid, greedy, or a combination of the two, this is indeed a problem, but for both of them alone.  What of the US tax-payer living miles away, who was not involved at all?
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Politicians always love to socialize the costs and responsibility of all economic screw-ups.  It is so easy to spend someone else's money, to solve the problem of yet another third party (such as a bank)  - is it not?  And yet this is the nature of politicians.  Our concern about all these issues is not that these problems have occurred (although they were avoidable), but rather the solution and outcome for those not responsible.  Which is to say, one can feel sympathy for those that may have gotten into difficulty, but does sympathy translate into going broke yourself?  We once again repeat the caution to watch out for politicians who start telling you:  We Are All in This Together.  That is political code-speak for:  We Plan on Picking the Pockets of Everyone that is still solvent in order to pay for this nonsense.  Even so, where do you go?  We have made the comment that other countries will probably fair better through all this mess, simply because of culture and economic differences, in terms of money matters.  Stated another way, in many of the developing nations, credit is hard to come by and a substantial portion of the populations pay CASH for their purchases.  Even in the industrialized nations of Germany and Italy, banks there were not willing to offer so-called NINJA loans (no income, no job).  What bank in their right mind would loan money to a borrower who was not putting up any equity at all, or who was broke and maybe even unemployed?  Too many American banks is the answer to that question unfortunately, and therein lies the problem, and also the difference.  Of course, the British seem to share more than just a common language with the Americans as well in terms of this theme (see news item below).
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DEBT-GORGED BRITISH START TO WORRY THAT THE PARTY IS ENDING
By Julia Werdigier - March 22, 2008
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At one point, Alexis Hall had more than 50 pairs of designer shoes and handbags. It never occurred to the 39-year-old media relations executive from Glasgow that her £31,500 in debt ($63,000) would be a problem.  It was so easy to get the loans and the credit that you almost think the goods are a gift from the shop, she said.  You do not fully realize that it is real money you are spending until you actually sit down and consolidate your bills and then it is a shock.  As the United States economy weakens, many Americans are being overwhelmed by personal debt, but Britons are even more profligate. For most of the last decade, consumers here went on a debt-financed spending spree that made them the most indebted rich nation in the world, racking up a record £1.4 trillion in debt ($2.8 trillion),  more than the country's gross domestic product.  By comparison, personal debt in the United States is $13.8 trillion, including mortgage debt, slightly less than the country's $14 trillion G.D.P.
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And while the Federal Reserve in Washington has cut interest rates, in an effort to loosen lenders grip on credit, the Bank of England's interest rate increases last year are trickling through to mortgages at the very time home values are dropping and banks are becoming more reluctant to lend.  Economists say Britain's relationship to debt is complex, but at its core is a phenomenon more akin to recent American history than European trends. As in the United States, a decade-long housing boom and strong economic growth bolstered consumer confidence, creating a perception of wealth almost unknown in countries like Germany and Italy.  Culturally, maybe also because of the defeat in the war, Germans remain reluctant to borrow and banks are often state-owned, pushing less for profits from lending, said Alistair Milne, a professor at Cass Business School in London.
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http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/22/business/worldbusiness/
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PARTYING LIKE IT'S 1929
By Paul Krugman - March 21, 2008
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If Ben Bernanke manages to save the financial system from collapse, he will rightly be praised for his heroic efforts.  But what we should be asking is: How did we get here?  Why does the financial system need salvation?  Why do mild-mannered economists have to become superheroes?  The answer, at a fundamental level, is that we are paying the price for willful amnesia. We chose to forget what happened in the 1930s and having refused to learn from history, we are repeating it.  Contrary to popular belief, the stock market crash of 1929 was not the defining moment of the Great Depression. What turned an ordinary recession into a civilization-threatening slump was the wave of bank runs that swept across America in 1930 and 1931.  This banking crisis of the 1930s showed that unregulated, unsupervised financial markets can all too easily suffer catastrophic failure.  As the decades passed, however, that lesson was forgotten and now we are relearning it, the hard way.
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The financial crisis currently under way is basically an updated version of the wave of bank runs that swept the nation three generations ago. People are not pulling cash out of banks to put it in their mattresses, but they are doing the modern equivalent, pulling their money out of the shadow banking system and putting it into Treasury bills. And the result, now as then, is a vicious circle of financial contraction.  Mr. Bernanke and his colleagues at the Fed are doing all they can to end that vicious circle. We can only hope that they succeed. Otherwise, the next few years will be very unpleasant - not another Great Depression, hopefully, but surely the worst slump we have seen in decades.  Even if Mr. Bernanke pulls it off, however, this is no way to run an economy. It is time to relearn the lessons of the 1930s, and get the financial system back under control.
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http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/21/opinion/
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EDITORS NOTES:  We are not always a fan of Paul Krugman, but we have to give him credit for discussing topics others will not.  However, ironically we started using the D word (Depression) in some newsletters last year, and received some criticism for it, and yet here we are.  Now it is the New York Times (and a few other media sources) using the word in print, and not just us.  A rose by any other name, as they say.
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Does this mean the US is going to hell in a hand basket?  Not necessarily, but there are, and possibly will be some problems, and some of them very similar to social ills experienced during the Great Depression of the 1930's, albeit with a new twist.  Abdolreza Abbassian, economist and secretary of the Intergovernmental Group for Grains for the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization does say that consumers still face at least 10 years of more expensive food, according to preliminary FAO projections.  Obviously she is speaking in general terms about the world economy and the fact that higher foods costs is a global problem (in part, but not entirely, due to US dollar inflation).  Food riots and shortages are already a problem in some other countries and the list includes Egypt, Cameroon, Burkina Faso and Senegal, for the moment.  Countries that are net exporters of rice (such as Egypt, Vietnam, India and Cambodia) have restricted exports to make sure they have enough for their own citizens.  The Philippines is having a rough time trying to buy rice on world markets to feed its citizens and cover the shortfall, so if you are traveling to Manila, then BYOB (bring your own bag).  In any event, we of course do wonder what all these things will mean socially?  Here are some interesting statistics to give us a clue regarding the trends in the US:
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The ratio of American wage expenditure to gross domestic product (GDP) has dropped to the lowest since records began in 1947. The average income of households consisted of members at working age has seen a continuous decline in the past five years, and is 17% less than five years ago (U.S. News & World Report, January 1, 2007; USA Today, October 24, 2007).  The poor population in the United States has been constantly increasing. According to the U.S. Census Bureau in August 2007, the official poverty rate in 2006 was 12.3%. There were 36.5 million people, or 7.7 million families living in poverty in 2006.  Hungry and homeless people have increased significantly in American cities as well.  According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture in a report released on November 14, 2007,  35.52 million Americans, including 12.63 million children, went hungry in 2006 (Over 30 Million Americans Faced Hunger in 2006, Reuters, November 15, 2007). It is estimated that 750,000 people are homeless on any given day in the United States.  Will the sub-prime housing problem exponentially increase this number, and if so, what will be the solution?
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There might be the start of another new trend emerging, which is the equivalent of the Hoover-Villes that were common to the 1930's era, although the press is calling them tent cities these days (fascinating that the BBC and not the US news services originally broke that story).  The jury is still out regarding conclusive proof, but it would seem that the growing ranks of the tent city population is made up of those that have lost their homes due to sub-prime mortgage issues (as opposed to those that have traditionally made up the major ranks of the homeless).  What offers such a conclusion?  The growing number of recreational vehicles and campers found parked at such encampments (the existing homeless or poor people usually do not have recreational vehicles).  Which is to say, it would seem that some people might be loading up the kids into the family camper and taking off, leaving the house for the bank to worry about.  In fact, home abandonment and the angry trashing of same by perturbed mortgage holders has gotten so bad (and common), that some banks are actually offering cash incentives if people simply leave quietly (and not wreck the place).
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Regardless, what is the solution?  What will government do to assuage some of these possible social problems that could be on the horizon?  Is this so-called crisis really something that has caught all the brilliant government officials off-guard and by surprise, or did they see this coming and have they been planning for it all along?  Interesting and provocative questions all.  If the US government's own statistics are accurate, 35 Million Poor and Hungry people is no small number to start with, and even more of a problem if you believe that segment of the population is now growing.  One may argue and surmise that the new homeless, hungry and poor are made up of the former educated, middle class and or so-called working class segments of the population.  Hell has no fury like a guy that just lost his McMansion, his leased Audi, and is currently living in a tent encampment (see recent news stories about angry and hostile former home dwellers trashing their own houses before they leave, or are foreclosed upon).  Maybe the plan is to offer these folks tax-payer funded housing, albeit the involuntary kind (AKA Club Fed or should we say, Camp Fed).  Yes sir, there are a whole lot of angry former yuppies out there.  Read on as to what conclusions some people have come to regarding recently passed legislation:
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RULE BY FEAR OR RULE BY LAW?
By Lewis Seiler, Dan Hamburg - March 2008
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Since 9/11, and seemingly without the notice of most Americans, the federal government has assumed the authority to institute martial law, arrest a wide swath of dissidents (citizen and non-citizen alike), and detain people without legal or constitutional recourse in the event of an emergency influx of immigrants in the U.S., or to support the rapid development of new programs.  Beginning in 1999, the government has entered into a series of single-bid contracts with Halliburton subsidiary Kellogg, Brown and Root (KBR) to build detention camps at undisclosed locations within the United States. The government has also contracted with several companies to build thousands of railcars, some reportedly equipped with shackles, ostensibly to transport detainees. According to diplomat and author Peter Dale Scott, the KBR contract is part of a Homeland Security plan titled ENDGAME, which sets as its goal the removal of all removable aliens and potential terrorists.
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But the real question is: What kind of new programs require the construction and refurbishment of detention facilities in nearly every state of the union with the capacity to house perhaps millions of people?
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Sect. 1042 of the 2007 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), Use of the Armed Forces in Major Public Emergencies, gives the executive the power to invoke martial law. For the first time in more than a century, the president is now authorized to use the military in response to a natural disaster, a disease outbreak, a terrorist attack or any other condition in which the President determines that domestic violence has occurred to the extent that state officials cannot maintain public order.
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The Military Commissions Act of 2006, rammed through Congress just before the 2006 midterm elections, allows for the indefinite imprisonment of anyone who donates money to a charity that turns up on a list of terrorist organizations, or who speaks out against the government's policies. The law calls for secret trials for citizens and non-citizens alike.
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Also in 2007, the White House quietly issued National Security Presidential Directive 51 (NSPD-51), to ensure continuity of government in the event of what the document vaguely calls a catastrophic emergency.  Should the president determine that such an emergency has occurred, he and he alone is empowered to do whatever he deems necessary to ensure continuity of government.  This could include everything from canceling elections to suspending the Constitution to launching a nuclear attack. Congress has yet to hold a single hearing on NSPD-51.
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U.S. Rep. Jane Harman, D-Venice (Los Angeles County) has come up with a new way to expand the domestic war on terror.  Her Violent Radicalization and Homegrown Terrorism Prevention Act of 2007 (HR1955), which passed the House by the lopsided vote of 404-6, would set up a commission to examine and report upon the facts and causes of so-called violent radicalism and extremist ideology, then make legislative recommendations on combating it.  According to commentary in the Baltimore Sun, Rep. Harman and her colleagues from both sides of the aisle believe the country faces a native brand of terrorism, and needs a commission with sweeping investigative power to combat it.  A clue as to where Harman's commission might be aiming is the Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act, a law that labels those who engage in sit-ins, civil disobedience, trespass, or any other crime in the name of animal rights as terrorists. Other groups in the crosshairs could be anti-abortion protesters, anti-tax agitators, immigration activists, environmentalists, peace demonstrators, Second Amendment rights supporters ... the list goes on and on. According to author Naomi Wolf, the National Counter-terrorism Center holds the names of roughly 775,000 terror suspects with the number increasing by 20,000 per month.  What could the government be contemplating that leads it to make contingency plans to detain without recourse millions of its own citizens?
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http://www.coastalpost.com/08/03/28_Rule_by_Fear_or_Rule_by_Law_.html
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EDITORS NOTES:  We reported to you in a previous newsletter regarding calamity Jane's (Rep. Jane Harman) legislation that she sponsored in 2007 (and was passed by a margin of 404 to 6).  What is interesting is the focus on so-called homegrown or domestic issues with this new law.  Meaning, can we conclude that domestic dissent or even peaceful civil disobedience is now defined as an act of terrorism?  Were there not laws on the books already that defined, punished by law and that differentiated between the destruction of property in such acts of protest versus say, non-violent forms of dissent?  Why is a new law necessary for this?  Why all of a sudden be concerned about civil disobedience or dissent?  What could the US government be contemplating?  Here are some more views on the subject (see news items below):
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THE CONTRARIAN - THE BEAT GOES ON 
By Dave McGill - March 07, 2008 
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Most anyone's first reaction concerning the government's acquisition of additional powers is that these laws and executive orders must be for our own protection.  The government - our government - would never set out to restrict our time-honored freedoms. After all, aren't we involved in two wars to specifically spread freedom to other countries?  Well something's going on. Something is definitely going on.
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It's easy to understand why we might remain unconcerned, however, because the power grab has extended over time and the bits and pieces have been largely ignored by the mainstream media.  It's sort of like a wooden structure under attack by termites. No one might notice until the day the house falls down.  And let me be clear right up front. This is not aimed at any one political party. Both parties and the Bush administration are involved.  The domestic power of government, on the one hand, and civil liberties, on the other, are mutually exclusive, Any increase in one creates a shrinking of the other.
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The following is a summary of the increases that have occurred in the government's powers during the Bush presidency, as well as certain other related developments. Please note that the powers we are talking about here are those that have impacted on American citizens, not on foreign terrorists.  Look at the facts and the commentary....then you decide.
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THE RAY GUN - Last Sunday night, Sixty Minutes aired a segment on a ray gun developed by the Pentagon that shoots out a 100,000-watt beam at the speed of light, temporarily disabling anyone it hits within its range of at least one half mile. It's harmless as long as it is used properly, according to the report.  The Pentagon was reported to have said the weapon could change the rules of war and save huge numbers of lives in Iraq.  Who are they kidding? And shame on Sixty Minutes for allowing itself to be spoon-fed such an obvious line. This isn't intended for foreign wars. Can you imagine the military using it against groups that may or may not be armed with lethal weapons? - Not on your life, and certainly not on theirs.  No, this is the first weapon in the Pentagon's arsenal to be used against its brand new adversary - us! The ray gun is the twenty-first century version of the high-powered fire hose of the 1950's.  And all the credit for its intended use by the Pentagon goes to something called:
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THE JOHN WARNER DEFENSE AUTHORIZATION ACT - HR5122, also known by the above name, was passed by Congress and signed into law by the president on 10/17/06. Thus, with a stroke of a pen, the president took away the protection that Americans had enjoyed for the past 128 years against the government's potential abuse of power.  The Posse Comitatus Act, passed way back on June 16, 1878, had previously limited the federal government from using the military for law enforcement, except on federal property. The Warner Act has changed all that.  Under the Warner Act, if the president declares a public emergency, which he can do at his discretion, he can station troops anywhere in America to be used as he sees fit to quell any disturbance or demonstration.  Another feature of the law allows the president to take control of all state-based national guard units without the consent of the governors or local authorities involved. This prompted a strong letter of protest signed by every one of the nation's governors.  Senator Patrick Leahy (D-Vermont) was the only member of Congress to warn that this bill will actually encourage the president to declare a national emergency.  The law also facilitates the military round-up of protestors, who might then presumably be held in:
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THE NEW DETENTION CAMPS - On January 24, 2006, a subsidiary of Halliburton, by the name of KBR, announced that it had been awarded a contract for as much as $385 million to construct detention facilities by the Department of Homeland Security.  On June 7, 2006, Fox News reported that the contract has sparked wide speculation that massive prisons are going to be built to detain illegal immigrants or even U.S citizens, fears that government officials say are unfounded.  Of course, if they are unfounded, then why build them?  Tom Hennessy reported in the Long Beach Press Telegram on February 3, 2006 that the camps are, indeed, cause for concern.  The facilities are described as temporary, but have extensive, high-tech features designed to prevent escapes.  To sharpen its ability to be able to successfully direct and manage the massive roundups that might be required to fill such detention camps, the government has conducted:
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OPERATION FALCON - USA Today reported on 11/2/06 that the government had carried out three extensive sweeps over the previous two years bringing in more than 30,000 felons. The operations, known as Falcons I, II and III were unique in that they involved federal agents rounding up individuals who were guilty only of state and local crimes.  An Information Clearinghouse article by Mike Whitney on 2/26/07 warned that the government is fine tuning its shock troops. The article goes on to say that This should be a red flag for anyone who cares at all about human rights, civil liberties, or simply saving his own skin.  If you are wondering how the government could possibly process such a sudden and overwhelming wave of detainees through the courts, that problem has been solved by what is known as the:
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MILITARY COMMISSIONS ACT OF 2006 - In the final hours before adjourning in 2006, when hardly anyone would notice amid the flurry of new legislation, Congress passed the above act which was subsequently signed by the president.  Some did notice, however, and expressed grave concern over the fact that the law appears to cast aside the principle of habeas corpus.  As the ACLU said, Habeas corpus isn't a fancy legal term. It's the freedom from being thrown in prison illegally, with no help and no end in sight. No president should ever be given the power to call someone an enemy, wave his hand, and lock them away indefinitely. The Founders made the president subject to the rule of law. They rejected dungeons and chose due process.
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Experts have concluded, according to the online encyclopedia, Wikipedia, that the law could apply to U.S. citizens. It gives the president the power to order the arrest and indefinite detention of anyone he deems to be an unlawful enemy combatant.  An unlawful enemy combatant is vaguely defined as a person who has engaged in hostilities or who has purposefully and materially supported hostilities against the United States.
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EDITORS NOTES:  Conspiracy theory quackery or something more?  Hard to say, and of course that ray gun thing does sound a bit wacky (but I bet if someone told you thirty years ago there would be radio frequency chips containing your personal details embedded in your passport, or even under your skin, you would think such a person would be a prime candidate for a mental health facility).  On the other hand, I can tell you that the United States of America is already the world's largest prison and has the highest inmate to overall population ratio in the world. A December 5, 2007 report by EFE news agency quoted statistics of U.S. Department of Justice as saying that the number of inmates in U.S. prisons has increased by 500% over the last 30 years. By the end of 2006, there were 2.26 million inmates in U.S. prisons.  The U.S. population only accounts for 5% of the world total, but its inmates make up 25% of the world total. There were 751 inmates in every 100,000 U.S. citizens, far higher than the rates in other Western countries.  But Mr. Jerry Mazza puts the number even higher, at roughly 1,000 per every 100,000 citizens.  He writes in a March 11, 2008 article titled Land Of The Free Is World's Top Jailer:  Do not let the anthem fool you. The land of the free says Go to Jail to more than one in every 100 adult Americans, actually 99.1. What's scarier is that one out of every 34 of the 230 million adult Americans are under the correctional system, in jail or out on probation. This makes the US el numero uno jailer in the world, ahead of China, Russia, Brazil, India, Mexico, South Africa, England and Japan (end of quote).  Is the land of the free becoming the land of the incarcerated?  Will potential social problems resulting from the economy cause people to, dare we say, engage in acts of civil disobedience, and as a result increase the number of guests staying at government facilities?  I do not know, but the possibility exists.  As the gentleman in one of the above news articles asks the very pointed question: why build the jails if you do not intend to fill them?
© Ascot Advisory Services 2008

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