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Is There Really More Crime in Other Countries or Less?
This
was our challenge when we put together this article for you.
Which is to say, many people have been dissuaded from visiting or
investigating some places simply because they had heard some rumors
regarding crime issues. Are the rumors true, or do the factual
statistics tell another story?
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We have received quite a few letters recently from people that have
said, John - we are interested in relocating to XYZ country, but are
concerned about the crime rumors we have heard. My reply is going
to be - What are the rumors you have heard and from whom did you hear
it? In addition, is it true that there is more crime in the
country you wish to relocate to, less crime or about the same (in
comparison to where you are at the moment)? Equally important, I
believe, are some of cultural differences and reasons why the crime
figures might be different somewhere else as well, which more
importantly tells you something about the society (that perhaps you are
thinking about relocating to).
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People have made comments to me that they have heard negative things
specifically about the Dominican Republic, Belize, Argentina and a
number of other places in terms of crime, the economy, levels of
unemployment and so on. However, I live in the Dominican Republic
and have never, ever seen the kinds of things supposedly reported in
some of these rumors, but I did witness a deadly assault on a New York
City subway once, a very long time ago. In fact, I grew up in New
York City at a time when the crime issue was at its worst, and in
comparison to then and now, Santo Domingo as a major city still seems
to be safer to me than New York was or maybe even is today. In
addition, I would honestly have to say the same thing about Buenos
Aires, Panama City, Santiago (Chile) and a host of other cities I have
visited as well. Which is to say, if you think there is NO crime
anywhere there are people, and especially a metropolitan area, then you
are kidding yourself. On the other hand, the question is - are
crime issues any worse or less in the place you might be
considering. Also, are the people telling you things in fact
someone in the know, or are these people simply parroting rumors they
have heard in a bathroom stall or a pub?
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If you look at the statistics from Nationmaster.com
(see link below) and you especially look at per capita crimes, we find
out some very interesting statistics. However, keep in mind it is often
clearer to look at the total number of crimes per thousand (per capita)
as a much better indicator, rather than total number of reported
crimes. Obvious a country with a large population will have
larger numbers of crimes reported as a function of the higher
population, but the real key is relative criminal activity as a
percentage:
According to what these statistics indicate, South Africa tops the list
for Rapes World-Wide, is also number two in terms of Murders and is in
the top ten for Burglaries as well. However, the United States
also in the top ten for Rapes World-Wide (number nine on the list) and
overall crime (number eight) as well. The most interesting thing
about these statistics however involve so-called wealthier nations that
one might assume would have lower crime rates in comparison to
so-called poorer or less developed countries. So, the complaint
or comments from some people regarding certain developing markets is -
Oh, there are very many poor people there. Maybe, but then does
that mean because a large number of people are less well off than you -
that they are necessarily crooks or more likely to commit criminal
acts? According to the statistics on crime in comparison to the
supposedly more wealthy (and some might say more civilized) nations,
the answer is a resounding NO.
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For example, Australia tops the list with the highest ratio of
burglaries worldwide and is number three in terms of the number of
rapes per capita (what the heck is wrong with those Aussies?). In
addition, in terms of some other top ten countries on the list for
rapes, burglaries and total overall crime, we see Canada, The United
Kingdom, Denmark, Finland, Chile, New Zealand and the Netherlands as
well (we have already mentioned the United State previously). In
fact, there are far more wealthy nations on some of these top ten lists
than so-called poorer countries - so, what does that tell you?
Before you counter with the argument that these countries keep better
statistics and reporting of such things, also keep in mind that smaller
nations such as Jamaica, Chile, Latvia, Poland and so on ARE
included. Can it be true that the better off a country is
economically; the more likely citizens are to commit crimes? Does
economic success breed contempt?
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Of the poorer or economically less well off nations, we are surprised
to see the tiny English Speaking former British colony of Dominica (not
to be confused with the Dominican Republic, which is a completely
different Spanish speaking country) coming in at number two on the list
in terms of burglaries per capita (remember that Australia is number
one in that category), and tiny laid back English Speaking Dominica
also NUMBER ONE is terms of overall TOTAL crime. Some people
would like to make the argument that a poorer nation and or one without
the financial resources for law enforcement will have a higher crime
rate, but with the exception of tiny Dominica, this argument just does
not hold up. In fact, many of the countries within the top 10 or
20 on these high crime list statistics are also some of the very same
countries with some of the highest taxation rates in the world as well
- so, where is all this money going to? It must not be going into
crime fighting, or if it is, the people in these countries must be so
bad that no amount of money can help. You know, I have often
heard American news journalists and others state that the United States
is a nation of laws - but too bad then it would seem that not too many
people are obeying them. Which brings us to another point about
all this.
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Generally speaking, government cannot regulate the morality or ethics
of the local population. In the United States for example, we
know that in many places (with the exception of Nevada) prostitution is
illegal, yet that has not stopped prostitution. The United States
has some very strict handgun regulations, yet the crooks always seem to
find a way to get their hands on the guns. The only thing some of
these more restrictive gun ownership laws do is make it even more
difficult for the average citizen to level the playing field, by
getting a gun too. But let us forget about some of these issues
for a moment. Let us instead talk about some very basic things,
such as robbery, petty theft and so on because this really is what most
people are concerned about when considering relocating to another
country (and the related rumors that tourists and foreigners are
supposedly being robbed left and right all day long in other countries).
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If we think about nations and cities, with the wealth, sophistication
and police presence to in theory offer up a safer environment and much
lower rates of petty crime, such as London, New York, Los Angeles,
Miami, Paris, Tokyo, etc, - is it true there is no chance of getting
your pockets picked or becoming a victim of robbery at all in these
places? One might argue that while you can just as easily be
robbed or pick pocketed on the Underground in London as you could say
in Belize City or Panama or Santo Domingo - the selling point of the
argument is going to be that this is less
likely in London than these other places. But is this really
true? Better stated, in a country with more police and more
sophistication, such as the United States (which prides itself on being
a nation of laws) is it really true that there are more criminals
elsewhere, less or about the same? Well, if you consider the fact
that the United States has more of its own citizens in jail in
comparison to almost every other nation on earth, it makes you
wonder. Is it the case that the police in the US are simply
better at catching crooks and locking them up - or are there really
more crooks per capita inside the US?
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The general claim about crime is that criminal activity always
increases when the economy turns for the worse and when unemployment is
highest. Statistically there is of course come correlation to
support this. However, on the other hand, getting back to issue
of culture and morals of a particular country, the unemployment rates
for Argentina, Uruguay and the Dominican Republic also have been
reported to be as high as 25 percent in very recent years (2003
-2004). This is very interesting because this was the
unemployment rate of the United States during the so-called Great
Depression of the 1930s. So, we have an unemployment statistic
TODAY that mimics the worse case ever regarding unemployment in the
United States, yet IS there a
tremendous emotional and social break down of society in these
countries? If not, then why is this not the case? If
unemployment numbers ever hit 25 percent in the US or Europe, would the
result in terms of society and how people reacted to it be the same, or
not? I think this is a very important issue to think about,
because again, just because one country has a larger poor population
than another, or even have an economic situation worse off than other,
this does not mean that the level of crime is necessarily greater. Also, it could be the case that two nations have the same economic scenario, yet very different social outcomes.
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In the US at the moment, the new trend lately has been for upper middle
class gated communities. Why do many people in the US feel they
need to live inside a guarded gated residential community today,
whereas this was not the case fifty years ago? What has changed,
and with all the recent economic problems in other countries - why is
it that the reaction is seemingly different elsewhere? In
addition, speaking of the poorer group of nations - why is it that two
countries with perhaps similar divisions of the population in terms of
percentage of wealthy and percentage of poor, and somewhat similar
economic situations have very different crime statistics also?
Could it be the difference is culture and composure rather that
strictly economics? Is the driving force behind the motivations
of a society (both good and bad) always about money? Could it
really be true that people in some nations are actually more moral than
in others?
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I will offer some of my own insight and opinion in terms of some of the
third world or emerging market countries on this list. In the
case of South Africa, I tend to think the local populace is
frustrated. The vast majority of people in that country thought
that changing the skin color of those in government were the answer to
their prayers. Which is to say, the common thinking was (and
correct in some respects) that the white minority of the country that
controlled the government and most of the business enterprises was
holding back the rest from obtaining upward mobility, politically and
economically. So, Nelson Mandela and related affiliated political
parties were swept into power. But has that alone been enough to
change the plight and status of the average citizen? What were
the vast majority of people thinking - That a simple change in the name
on the door of the Presidents office would offer up miracles?
Were they hoping or looking for a new kind of social welfare state
whereby the new government would confiscate all the wealth in the
country and redistribute to everyone for free? It can be hard to
analyze, but certainly change and effort comes from within. A
government can of course try and make the playing field more fair and
level, legally and economically. However, no government can force
people to do what they themselves should be doing if they (the people)
want to change their status or situation. Meaning, the government
can create a more positive or fairer environment, but at the same time
the government cannot FORCE people to wake up, exert some effort and
take advantage of it. This is what I think has happened in South
Africa, and this is why the crime rate, especially violent crime has
gone to the moon in terms of the crime rate. Which is to better
explain, the population psychologically does not want to recognize
this, nor can they bring themselves to blame the government they forced
so hard to bring into power either (nor can they really in all
fairness). Instead, these frustrations and taken out in other
ways, and perhaps why violent crimes such as rape especially is so high.
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In regards to Columbia, a country mentioned high on the list in terms
of murders, for sure the high level of drug related violence and
scuffles with rebel groups, such as FARC, have pushed these numbers
up. Is it really the case that average Columbians though have a
higher propensity than the people of Chile, for example, to kill each
other? Or is it true that there might be some other dynamics at
work in the statistics?
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The true test of any country and of any society is NOT what people do
or how they behave when there is a policeman on every corner, but
rather what they do when there is not. In terms of these
statistics, it seems very odd to find out some of the wealthiest nations, and those with extensive social welfare programs score highest
on the list for burglaries, murders and so on. It is also
interesting that many of the countries that do have perhaps higher
rates of poverty or have severe economic problems are NOT on the higher
end of the lists as well. People often ask me if I feel
comfortable living in the Dominican Republic. Why not? I
have had a few clients after taking a tour around the country make some
very intriguing comments to me afterwards. They have said to me:
You know, I made a very interesting observation about this
country. What was that I asked? Well, there are many poor
people in the Dominican Republic, but they are clean, well presented,
with ironed shirts on, etc. What does that tell you I
asked? Well, there are many poor people, but they are not unruly
or unsocial in any way. Plus, they take pride in themselves
regardless of their financial situation. So, if there is one
country with a large number of poor people that do not create havoc and
mayhem (do not rob and steal), what is it about the society that holds
them together? Is the glue of the society something other than
money - and whether they have money or not, does this social binding
things on an even keel regardless of economic differences? Is the
glue that binds modern, wealthier industrialized countries money, and
money alone - and does this explain why all hell could break loose when
many people no longer have any?
.
When I was planning a trip to Argentina in 2003, I was warned by some
people not to go. They told me, the economic crisis there is
terrible and crime has gone through the roof, etc., etc. Not only
that, my poor wife was turned into a nervous wreck before-hand from
people that told her the Argentines are racist and not very friendly to
someone who is not white (my wife is dark skinned). Needless to
say, all of that was baloney. I found the Argentines to be
wonderful people. My wife forgot her handbag in a Buenos Aires
taxi (which is very much not like her at all) and two hours later, the
taxi driver came back with not one cent or anything else missing (just
try that in New York or London, I dare you). More often than not,
people stopped me on the street and asked if I needed any help (as I
had my trusty tourist map butted up against a tree in the park
announcing to all my status as a tourist of course). Then, when
they found out we were from the Dominican Republic, of course the
conversation turned even friendlier. As for the racism comment,
well, let me just say my wife and her two teenage nieces who traveled
with us got more whistles than Kim Basinger, Jennifer Lopez or Haille
Berry combined. At one point walking through one of the public
parks, a fellow selling ice cream from a cart on the sidewalk yelled
out - How man, its not fair, you got three, give me one. Same
comment came from a security guard outside a bank in the downtown
area. I had to laugh and besides, I felt a bit cheated as no one
was whistling at me (oh well).
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In any event, the point is this. I continue to be impressed to
some extent with the Dominican people, the Thai who have gone through a
gut wrenching economic adjustment in recent years and have keep their
personal decorum in tact, plus the Argentine people as well (especially
with a sever economic crisis in the recent past and 25-percent
unemployment). All these countries mentioned had their ups and
downs when it comes to the economy or levels of unemployment, yet
things did not get out of hand socially. Has crime gone up in
some cases, when the economy has taken a turn for the worse? Sure
to some extent, or at least the statistics say so, but even so, how bad
is it really in comparison to where you are living right now? Is
it enough to keep you from traveling or relocating there? Is it
any worse than anyplace else, or maybe even not as bad? I would
say do not let ridiculous rumors or tall tales stop you from
investigating things for yourself. I would also say take some
things with a grain of salt in terms of what you hear on the news or
from your neighbor that never went anywhere as well. Try to keep
an open mind about what is simply myth or opinion versus the fact or
reality. The numbers and statistics do not lie. Countries
with higher levels of poor people or even unemployment do not
necessarily mean a higher level of crime or criminals for that matter -
and this is a very important indicator about the local society you are
planning to move into as well (if you might be investigating a place
for retirement or relocation). Likewise, what do these statistics
really tell us about the social fabric of the wealthier industrialized
nations should trouble come calling versus how people in so-called
poorer nations have behaved?
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I wonder what would happen in Los Angeles, New York, Miami, Paris, and
other so-called modern and wealthier places if the unemployment rates
ever hit 25 percent? I wonder how people in Chicago would react
if the electricity went out in some neighborhoods for 24 hours as could
happen and does happen in the so-called third world cities? In
the backwards, poor, third world countries, what have the people done
(and what do they do now) when faced with some of these problems.
Do they riot and go off on crime sprees because the lights go out, or
do they calmly light some candles and chat with neighbors
instead? Where would you rather be, if some of these problems
cropped up? Where you are at the moment, or someplace else?
When investigating crime and other related social issues as it might
pertain to a new country of residence for yourself, surely this these
and other questions are something to think about. In addition, do
not let negative comments and rumors from the uneducated deter you
either (better yet, show them the statistics although these folks will
not want to believe it even if you do). Go see for yourself, and
find out if what you heard is just so much sour grapes. Remember,
misery loves company and no one wants to believe you can be happier
elsewhere. No one wants to see you with a success story elsewhere
either. In addition, in my case, had I listened to all the people
that attempted to discourage me, I would have gone no where (and would
have missed out on quite a bit as a result).
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